Your figures
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Result
| 95 % confidence interval (Wilson) | 56.5–82.2 % Declared Computed from declared figures |
|---|---|
| Break-even win rate before costs | Not measured Missing target and/or stop in R. |
Declared The input figures are declared and the results are computed from them. This reading is not an audit.
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How the interval narrows with more trades
| Trades | 95 % interval |
|---|---|
| 30 | 53.1–84.1 % |
| 100 | 61.5–79.0 % |
| 300 | 65.6–75.8 % |
| 1,000 | 68.1–73.7 % |
Break-even win rate by risk/reward
| Target (R) | Stop (R) | Break-even win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 % |
| 1.5 | 1.0 | 40.0 % |
| 2.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 % |
| 3.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 % |
| 1.0 | 2.0 | 66.7 % |
What it computes and assumes
- The Wilson 95 % interval is the range of win rates compatible with your sample if trades are independent. With few trades it is wide.
- The break-even win rate is stop ÷ (target + stop): at that rate, with trades that end at the target or the stop, wins and losses cancel out before costs.
- A rounded percentage is treated as a proportion; we do not rebuild how many trades won.
- It does not measure costs, slippage, streaks or whether the rule was fixed before seeing the results.
With your file, the figures are measured
The report measures your real trades: the win rate with its interval, break-even cost, in-sample versus out-of-sample and data quality. Your first full report is free with an account.
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