Reading examples

What public figures leave out

These cards put public declarations in context. We do not have the files: these are not audits and have no audit class.

A strategy attributed to AI

Rigor · reading public figuresDeclared figures and statistical context; no file or audit class.Rigor · reading public figuresPublic post, October 2026Declared · Declared source: Public post, October 2026Not declaredNot measured · Declared source: Not declaredTrades · Declared45Win rate · Declared71.0 %Profit factor · Declared3.24Annual Sharpe · Not measuredNot declaredYears · Not measuredNot declaredConfigurations · Not measuredNot declaredTarget (R) · Declared1Stop (R) · Declared1Declared · Computed from declared figuresWin rate · Wilson 95 % interval56.5 % – 82.2 %Independent trades; the declared rate may be rounded.Declared · Computed from declared figuresExpected best result from fair coinsN=20: 64.2 % · N=100: 68.9 %Normal approximation; independent flips and searches. N is assumed.Not measuredExpected annual Sharpe from luckMissing years and/or configurations.Declared · Computed from declared figuresBreak-even win rate before costs50.0 %Assumed: every trade ends at the target or the stop.Not measured · Not measured: costs, out-of-sample, data quality.This card is not an audit; upload the file and the report measures it.

Declared · The post attributes the search to AI over three weeks. That development period does not say how much history the backtest covers.

Not measured · Without the file we cannot reconcile profit factor, win rate and exits. Sharpe, years and attempts are missing for the calculator.

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A short history to draw conclusions from

Rigor · reading public figuresDeclared figures and statistical context; no file or audit class.Rigor · reading public figuresPublic post, October 2026Declared · Declared source: Public post, October 2026Not declaredNot measured · Declared source: Not declaredTrades · Not measuredNot declaredWin rate · Not measuredNot declaredProfit factor · Not measuredNot declaredAnnual Sharpe · Declared1.9Years · Declared0.173077Configurations · Declared1Target (R) · Not measuredNot declaredStop (R) · Not measuredNot declaredNot measuredWin rate · Wilson 95 % intervalMissing trade count and/or win rate.Not measuredExpected best result from fair coinsMissing trade count.Declared · Computed from declared figuresExpected annual Sharpe from luck≈ 0.00Assumed: 252 normal, independent daily observations/year; independenttrials.Not measuredBreak-even win rate before costsMissing target and/or stop in R.Not measured · Not measured: costs, out-of-sample, data quality.This card is not an audit; upload the file and the report measures it.

Declared · 9 weeks out of sample; approximately 0.173077 years assuming 52 weeks per year.

Not measured · A single configuration has no search to discount; that does not establish stability or confirm the out-of-sample separation.

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Picking among many configurations

Rigor · reading public figuresDeclared figures and statistical context; no file or audit class.Rigor · reading public figuresPublic post, October 2026Declared · Declared source: Public post, October 2026Not declaredNot measured · Declared source: Not declaredTrades · Not measuredNot declaredWin rate · Not measuredNot declaredProfit factor · Not measuredNot declaredAnnual Sharpe · Declared1.8Years · Declared3Configurations · Declared1000Target (R) · Not measuredNot declaredStop (R) · Not measuredNot declaredNot measuredWin rate · Wilson 95 % intervalMissing trade count and/or win rate.Not measuredExpected best result from fair coinsMissing trade count.Declared · Computed from declared figuresExpected annual Sharpe from luck≈ 1.89Assumed: 252 normal, independent daily observations/year; independenttrials.Not measuredBreak-even win rate before costsMissing target and/or stop in R.Not measured · Not measured: costs, out-of-sample, data quality.This card is not an audit; upload the file and the report measures it.

Declared · Computed from those figures: expected Sharpe from luck 1.89; Sharpe after the haircut 0.00, under the calculator's assumptions.

Not measured · Picking the best result of a search requires accounting for the attempts. The file, costs and out-of-sample segment are missing.

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With your file, the figures are measured

The calculator assumes daily data with normal returns. Your file has real skew, tails, costs and data gaps, and the report measures them, along with the number of MT5 optimizer passes when you upload it. Your first full report is free with an account.

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